A Model for Iberian Wolf (Canis lupus signatus, Cabrera 1907) Predation Risk Assessment on Cattle in the Central System (Spain)

As a consequence of the exponential increase demographic and technological development human being, conflicts with natural environment are accentuated. Pollution or loss biodiversity represent examples problems that we must face to maintain balance between evolution beings conservation nature. However, there whose origin is not as modern those mentioned, return Neolithic find conflict man great predators. This condition has existed since then at this point in history, reaching very high levels tension developed countries, result depredation livestock. Wolf one species generates more currently suffering slight expansion. Although current laws mostly seek their recovery conservation, wolf experiencing difficulties due poor social perception it has. Faced situation, model been using geographic information systems which categorizes areas according probability cattle could suffer attack. Based on anthropogenic variables environment, greater lesser attack were evaluated, objective designing prevention plan reduce eliminate attacks. Since different authors demonstrate population control measures effective reducing attacks livestock, solution should be based preventive measures. The use designed will enable competent authorities apply these optimally, expenses allowing anticipate future conflict.